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Is Solana's Surge Real or Just Bot Play?

I came across this article about Solana and its recent transaction volume surge. You know me, I love diving into these crypto narratives.

The Numbers Game

Apparently, on November 16th, Solana hit a record transfer volume of $318 billion. Yes, billion with a 'b'. Active addresses jumped to 22 million. But here’s the kicker: most of this activity is allegedly coming from bots.

Now, I’m no stranger to blockchain trading platforms inflating their numbers. Remember when Ethereum had that massive spike in usage? Turned out it was just a bunch of people trying to get into some NFT collection and failing miserably.

Bots: The Unsung Heroes or Villains?

Bots aren’t all bad. They provide liquidity and can execute trades faster than any human could dream of. But they also congest networks and drive up fees. Like during the memecoin craze when 75% of transactions on Solana were failing because the network was choked up.

And let’s not forget sandwich attacks! Front-running big trades and then back-running them? That’s some next-level degen behavior right there.

Fee Structures and Distorted Metrics

Here’s where it gets juicy: Solana’s recent fee structure seems to benefit from this bot activity. They raked in almost $6 million in fees recently, which is a lot for a network that prides itself on low costs. But if those fees are coming from inorganic traffic, are they sustainable?

I checked out Raydium’s liquidity pools as mentioned in the article, and wow… some pools have literally zero liquidity but insane trading volumes. Makes you think how much of that $318 billion is just bots doing bot things.

The Future: SOL's Price Predictions

Despite all this bot chatter, there's still bullish sentiment around SOL. Some analysts are calling for prices upwards of $400 based on technical patterns (whatever that means). But given how volatile crypto is, one tweet or one FUD article can swing things either way.

So yeah, while I appreciate Solana for what it is—a fast blockchain with low fees—I’m also aware that its current state might be artificially inflated by our robotic friends.

In the end, like all things crypto… tread carefully!

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